Black Swan
Dátum vydania: 27.02.2017
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers ...
Bežná cena knihy: 21,95 €
Naša cena knihy: 16,46 €
Ušetríte: 25 %
Detaily o knihe
Počet strán: 444
Rozmer: 128x208x26 mm
Hmotnosť: 299 g
Jazyk: Anglicky
EAN: 9780141034591
Rok vydania: 2017
Žáner: Odborné příručky
Typ: Paperback
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O knihe
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.